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COMCEC Trade Outlook 2017

12

Although the share of OIC countries in world exports

peaked at 12.2 per cent in 2012, it has been declining since

then. Along with the decline in OIC’s share in world imports

the share of OIC countries in global trade further declined

to 9.3 per cent in 2016 down from 9.8 per cent in 2015.

Figure 11: Share of OIC in Global Trade

Source: IMF Direction of Trade Statistics

Figure 12 below demonstrates evolution of the value

versus volume (i.e. eliminating the effects of prices and

exchange rates) developments in total OIC and world

exports. In value terms (i.e. in US dollars), OIC exports

yielded higher growth rates than that of world exports

which was more prominent during the oil price boom

period between 2003 and 2012. Total OIC exports

moves closely with oil prices owing to heavy dominance of oil in OIC exports. As a result OIC

exports have been on a declining trend mainly due to the recent slump in oil prices. On the other

hand thanks to the increased supply especially in fuels, the total OIC exports in volume terms

(i.e. eliminating the effects of prices and exchange rates) increased by 6.2 per cent in 2016.

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Per cent

OIC Exports / World Exports

OIC Imports / World Imports

OIC Trade / World Trade

“OIC countries’ share in

global trade receded to

9.3 per cent in 2016”

“Due to increased supply in

oil, OIC export volume

increased despite fall in

export values in 2016”