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COMCEC Trade Outlook 2017

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Total OIC exports are highly concentrated. The share of

mineral fuels, oils and distillation products in total OIC

exports was down by 13 percentage points between 2012

and 2016 due to falling oil prices. However mineral fuels,

oils has still the highest share with 43.9 percent in 2016.

This is followed by electrical machinery and equipment, pearls, precious stones, machinery,

mechanical appliances and plastics and articles thereof. These five sectors as a whole account

for 63 per cent of total OIC exports. (Figure 14)

Figure 14: OIC Exports to World- Top 5 Items

Source: ITC Trade map

The resilience of a country against external economic shocks varies depending on among others

the degree of export diversification. One common measure of concentration is Herfindahl-

Hirschmann Index (HHI)

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which can take values between 0 and 1 where being close to 0

indicates well diversified exports while a higher value indicates greater concentration of exports

on a few commodities. Figure 15 illustrates the evolution of product diversification in the OIC

compared to world and developed and developing countries for the period 2007-2015

measured by HHI. Developed countries export product diversification has not changed much as

these countries have more stable and mature export structures

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. This measure shows a little

tendency towards increasing product diversification in the OIC countries whereas developing

countries achieved a more diversified exports structure in the same period. Moreover, the

product concentration in the OIC countries exports are well above than those of world and

developed countries. OIC has a HHI of 0.25 whereas developed and developing countries have

HHI of 0,07and 0,09 respectively in 2015.

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The Herfindahl-Hirschmann Index (HHI) is calculated by taking the square of export shares of all export categories

in the market: This index gives greater weight to the larger export categories and reaches a value of unity when the

country exports only one commodity

. http://unctadstat.unctad.org/wds/TableViewer/tableView.aspx?ReportId=120

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WTO World Tariff Profiles, 2017

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Mineral fuels, mineral

oils ...

Electrical machinery-

equipment…

Natural or cultured

pearls, precious or

semi-precious stones,

Machinery,

mechanical

appliances, …

Plastics and articles

thereof

Billion Dollars

2014 2015 2016

“OIC exports are

dominated by mineral

fuels and oils”