39
COMCEC Agriculture Outlook 2019
kcal/caput/day
90
85
80
75
75
70
65
69
63 64
60 61 62 63
60 56
55
50
45
40
2000 2005 2013 2000 2005 2013 2000 2005 2013
African Group Arab Group Asian Group
ordinary least squares to the series. The difference between the cubic fit and the actual values
are then computed and then the index for a specific year is defined as the standard deviation of
these differences over the previous five years. OIC level food supply variability has a similar
trend with respect to World average but OIC level variations seem to be 2 times higher than
World level.
Figure 38 Per Capita Food Supply Variability in the OIC by Sub-Regions, kcal/caput/day
Source: Annex 41
At the sub-regional level, there appears to be a serious problem for each Groups but it is most
acute for Arab Group. In 2013, the food supply variability has reached 75 in the Arab Group and
69 in the Asian Groupwith a secular increasing trend in each of the OIC regions in oppose to the
global trend of decrease in food supply variability.