44
COMCEC Agriculture Outlook 2019
According to the scores, United Arab Emirates have the lowest amount of sensitivity score
while Mozambique faces the highest sensitivity among the OIC members. It can be seen from
the clustering that almost half of the countries has low to moderate sensitivity scores while
only one third of the countries face high to very high sensitivity. 14 out of 31 member states
analyzed have high or very high SI scores. The reason behind the countries having the highest
sensitivity scores is the food security problem in these countries together with population
under age of 14 and cause of death by communicable diseases and maternal, prenatal and
nutrition conditions which are drivers of food security that are mainly triggered by Climate
Extremes again and again.
Figure 41 Sensitivity Index (SI) shown on the world map
Sensitivity levels of 118 countries grouped into 4 as low (0-0.24), moderate (0.25-0.40), high
(0.41-0.69), and very high (0.70-1.00) based on the results of cluster analysis. Countries with
no data were shown in white.
4.3. AdaptiveCapacity Index (ACI) Scores
Normalized adaptive capacity index scores are shown in ascending order in Table 11 and on
themap in Figure 42.
According to the scores, United Arab Emirates has the highest adaptive capacity score while
Togo has the lowest. It can be seen from the clustering that the vast majority of the countries,
has high to very high levels of adaptive capacity scores while only 31% of the countries face
low to moderate adaptive capacity levels. Among OIC 20 out of 29 countries have above
moderate ACI. The reason behind the countries having the moderate adaptive capacity scores
can be listed as dependency of economy on agricultural sector, which in turn may limit the
infrastructure development due to lack of technology, low to medium level of life expectancy at
birth, limited implementation of the policies, low levels of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and,
lastly lack of equipment for irrigation on agricultural lands.