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38

COMCEC Agriculture Outlook 2019

35

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30

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7

4

2000

2005

OIC

2010

World

2013

3.4

Stability

The definition of food security stresses the time spatial extent of food security by stating “when

all people,

at all times

, have physical, social and economic access to safe and nutritious food

for an active and healthy life”. In this definition,

at all times

refer to the stability aspect by

covering the availability, access and utilization dimension of food security on a periodic basis.

Furthermore, it emphasizes the importance of having toreduce the riskof adverse effects on the

other three dimensions, namely availability, access and utilization. Therefore, these three

dimensions should be stable over time and not be affected negatively by natural (drought,

floods), social (unemployment), economic, (rising food prices) or political factors (social

unrest).

Accordingly, FAO describes the stability dimension of food security such that a population,

household or individual must have acquire toadequate food

at all times

without any risk losing

access to food as a consequence of sudden shocks (e.g. an economic or climatic crisis) or cyclical

events (e.g. seasonal food insecurity).

16

In the FAOstudy of food security indicators, the access dimension of food security is measured

by various indicators such as cereal import dependency ratio, percent of arab le land equipped

for irrigation, value of food imports over total merchandise exports, political stability and

absence of violence/terrorism, domestic food price volatility, per capita food production

variability, per capita food supply variability. In this study, among these indicators, per capita

food supply variabilitywhich compares the variations of per capita food supply across countries

and time is seen as themost useful indicator toassess the stability dimension of food security in

the OIC member countries.

Figure 37 Per Capita Food Supply Variability, kcal/capita/day

Source: Annex 41

Figure 37 and 38 illustrates the domestic food price volatility index that corresponds to the

variability of the "food supply in kcal/caput/day" in the world and OIC member countries,

respectively. The variability index series is calculated by fitting a cubic spline trend by