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COMCEC Trade Outlook 2019

4

Figure 2: World Export Volume

Source: WTO

On the export side, the slowdown was mostly due to reduced shipments from developed

countries, which contracted year on-year in three out of the four quarters of 2018.

On the import side, developed countries recorded slow growth throughout the year, particularly

in the first half. Meanwhile, developing economies and the Commonwealth of Independent

States (CIS) saw imports fall 2.1 per cent in the final quarter of 2018 despite stronger growth

earlier in the year.

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Figure 3: Evolution of the Commodity Prices

Source: World Bank Commodity Price Data

2

World Trade Development

, https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/wts2019_e/wts2019chapter03_e.pdf

0

50

100

150

200

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300

350

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450

1990

1991

1992

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1995

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1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

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2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

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2014

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2018

Trend

40

60

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100

120

140

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Price Indices (2010=100)

Energy

Agriculture

Food

Metals & Minerals