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COMCEC Agriculture Outlook 2019
4.4. Vulnerability Index (VI)
Vulnerability index scores were based on the exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity
indices. With aggregation of these indices, a normalized vulnerability index score was obtained
for each of the 118 countries analyzed of which 28 are OIC members; 10 from African Group,
12 from Asian group and 6 from African group (Table 12).
Table 12 Cluster groups for Vulnerability Index (VI) scores
Cluster 1 Cluster 2
Low VI Moderate VI High VI Very High VI
(0-0,25) (0,26-0,50) (0,51-0,75) (0,76-1,00)
UAE, Norway, Canada, USA,
Sweden, Australia, Finland,
Chile, Denmark, Spain,
Germany, France, Austria, UK,
Kuwait, Greece, Italy,
Portugal, Slovenia, Japan,
Czech R, Estonia, Saudi
Arabia, Malta, Georgia,
Poland, Brazil, Slovakia,
Latvia, Hungary, Russia,
Netherlands, Argentina,
Jordan, Mexico, Iran, Cuba,
Kazakhstan, Malaysia,
Lithuania, Belarus, Venezuela,
Croatia, Turkey, Uruguay,
Tunisia, Switzerland,
Ukraine, China, Colombia,
Lebanon , Suriname, Costa
Rica, Romania, Cyprus,
Belgium, Bulgaria (11)
Bosnia and Herzegovina,
Thailand, Algeria,
Ecuador, Armenia,
Uzbekistan, Panama,
Macedonia, Albania,
Peru, Moldova,
Morocco, Kyrgyz Rep.,
S. Africa, Egypt,
Paraguay, Dominican R.,
Vietnam, Fiji,
Indonesia, Honduras,
Trinidad and Tobago,
Mongolia, Bolivia,
Jamaica, Botswana,
Nicaragua, India, Sri
Lanka, Pakistan
(8)
Philippines,
Guatemala,
Mauritius, Namibia,
Ghana, El Salvador,
Tajikistan, Laos,
Mauritania,
Cameroon, Lesotho,
Congo Rep.,
Swaziland, Cote
d’Ivoire, Senegal,
Cambodia,
Bangladesh, Nepal,
Nigeria
(7)
Mali, Kenya, Uganda,
Afghanistan, Zambia,
Malawi, Tanzania,
Togo, Madagascar,
Mozambique, Ethiopia,
Rwanda
(5)
* 31 out of 57 OIC Member States are highlighted.
According to the vulnerability index scores, Mozambique is the most vulnerable OIC member
country while United Arab Emirates is the least. It can be seen from the clustering that 11 out
of 31 (around 35 %) of OIC member countries has low vulnerability scores while the high and
very high vulnerability cluster ismajorly occupied by the African Group countries (Figure 43).
Remarkably, countries with very high sensitivity and low adaptive capacity despite low
exposure levels dominate the very high vulnerability cluster. Among the OIC member states
UAE has the lowest EI and SI together with highest ACI.
Vulnerability levels of 118 countries grouped into 4 as low (0-0.25), moderate (0.26-0.50),
high (0.51-0.75), and very high (0.76-1) based on the results of cluster analysis. Countrieswith
no data are shown in white.
The countries in the moderate vulnerability cluster has moderate to high adaptive capacity
levels, low to high sensitivity and very low to low exposure levels. The countries in this cluster
may easily be better off by decreasing sensitivity levels via implementing targeted adaptive
capacity policies. Overall for OIC members; the efforts to increase the ACI will serve to
decrease the Sensitivity to the climate extremes resultingwith lower Vulnerabilit y.