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Analysis of Agri-Food Trade Structures

To Promote Agri-Food Trade Networks

In the Islamic Countries

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Agreement on Sanitary and Phyto-Sanitary (SPS) Measures and the Agreement on Technical

Barriers to Trade (TBT). In general, countries remain free to deploy appropriate regulations to

protect consumers but are required to ensure that there is a scientific basis for it, and that it is

not a disguised restriction on trade.

Unlike tariffs, NTMs cannot easily be summarized in a numerical measure. The reason is that

they are regulations that are not strictly comparable from one product or measure to another.

Some degree of econometric modeling is typically necessary to make an assessment of the

restrictiveness of different NTMs. Moreover, there is no comprehensive global database of NTMs

in force. The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) Trade Analysis

Information System (TRAINS) database only provides partial information: it is limited in terms

of the types of NTMs it covers, but is also in the course of being extended and updated, so country

coverage is limited, in particular in the developing world. Summary measures from TRAINS are

not reflective of overall world patterns, but only of data for those particular countries that are

included. It is also impossible to produce a dynamic picture similar to the one for tariffs due to

limited data availability.

To give a picture of the overall combined impact of tariff barriers and NTMs, the analysis uses

an alternative source, the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the

Pacific (UNESCAP)-World Bank Trade Costs Database.

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This database uses economic theory

combined with data on the global pattern of trade and production to infer the ratio of

international to domestic trade costs in ad valorem equivalent terms. It implicitly captures all

factors that drive a wedge between producer prices in the exporting country and consumer

prices in the importing country, including tariffs, as well as the full range of NTMs. Trade costs

measured in this way are typically much higher than ad valorem tariffs, because a far wider

range of factors are included. Because of limitations in the source data, it is not possible to

undertake the analysis using the Annex 1 classification. It is only possible to present data for an

aggregate agricultural sector that includes all agricultural goods as used in standard input-

output table classifications.

Figure 15 shows that as in the case of tariffs, there is an overall downwards trend in trade costs

in agricultural goods. However, it is less pronounced than in the case of manufacturing: trade

costs for the latter fell by 12% over two decades, compared with only 8.5% for agriculture.

Moreover, trade costs in agriculture are much higher than in manufacturing. Given that

manufacturing tariffs are lower than in agriculture in most countries, the difference must be due

to NTMs. These data therefore strongly suggest that NTMs are significantly raising trade costs

in agricultural sectors. Although the trend is clearly downwards, distortions to world markets

for agricultural products remain significantly higher than for manufactured goods. This finding

has particular implications for developing countries with significant natural resources but a

limited industrial base: it may be harder for them to access foreign markets than it is for

exporters of manufactured goods.

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Arvis, J.F., Y. Duval, B. Shepherd, C. Utoktham, and A. Raj. 2016. “Trade Costs in the Developing World: 1996-2010.”

World

Trade Review

, 15(3): 451-474.