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Analysis of Agri-Food Trade Structures

To Promote Agri-Food Trade Networks

In the Islamic Countries

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2.

OVERVIEW AND ANALYSIS OF GLOBAL AGRI-FOOD TRADE

This section provides background for the report by charting global trade patterns in agricultural

products over the last two decades. It starts by looking at the proportion of world trade

accounted for by OIC member countries, and by each of the major product groups identified in

the Annex 1 classification. Regional patterns are examined, then the text moves to consider the

direction of trade by looking at bilateral trade relationships between regions. The following

subsection takes a network analysis perspective, using graphical methods and centrality

measures to show how inter- and intra-regional trade links are important within the global

agricultural trade economy. Finally, there is a discussion of the role of global policies in

promoting trade in agricultural products over the relevant time period.

2.1.

Recent Trends in Global Agri-Food Trade

Figures 1 and 2 give an idea of the proportion of global trade accounted for by OIC countries,

differentiating between exports and imports. At this stage, OIC regional groups are not identified

separately, because the proportions would appear unduly small in the figures; the focus is on

aggregate performance at this point, before moving to a consideration of OIC regional groups in

the next section. For both exports and imports, the proportion of global trade accounted for by

intra-OIC trade is relatively small, but rising over time: in the case of exports, it increases from

6.7% in 1995 to 8.0% in 2016, while in the case of imports, it rises from 7.3% to 11.1% over the

same time period.

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Of course, these overall figures disguise considerable variation across

regions and products, which will be examined further in this section and the next. But they

nonetheless provide a first indication that OIC countries are active in global agricultural, though

on an overall level, more as importers than as exporters.

Figure 1: World Exports of Agricultural Products, 1995-2016, OIC versus Non-OIC, Billion USD

Source: UN Comtrade; and authors’ calculations.

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Similar results are presented by COMCEC: see COMCEC Coordination Office. 2017.

COMCEC Agriculture Outlook 2017

.

Ankara: COMCEC Coordination Office.

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200

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1.000

1.200

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Non-OIC OIC