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Analysis of Agri-Food Trade Structures

To Promote Agri-Food Trade Networks

In the Islamic Countries

116

Figure 64: Trends in Sources of Tunisian Fish Products Imports, 2005-2016

Source: UN Comtrade.

Table 29 repeats the disaggregated analysis above for major import products. Linkages with

countries in the Mediterranean area are again very important. There is a particular role played

by EU countries in products like wheat, cereals, and maize that is suggestive that preferential

trade arrangemetns play a key role in shaping trade flows, as more distant but globally

competitive suppliers play a secondary role, with the exception of Ukraine. Imports in sugar and

soya bean oil are quite concentrated geographicall. Links with more distant countries are

important for products like oil seads (Latin America, as well as India and Nigeria), and tobacco

(African countries.

Table 29: Leading Import Product - Origin Combinations for Tunisia, 2016.

Product

Leading Import Origins

Wheat

Ukraine, Canada, Italy, France, Greece, UK, Russia, Spain, Bulgaria, Romania.

Other cereals

Ukraine, UK, Russia, France, Finland, Argentina, Estonia, Romania, India, Canada.

Maize

Ukraine, USA, Argentina, Serbia, Romania, Paraguay, Bulgaria, Brazil, France,

Turkey.

Sugar

Brazil, Uruguay, France, Mauritius, Spain, Belgium.

Animal feed

Argentina, Italy, France, Spain, Brazil, USA, Germany, Ukraine, Maurtania,

Portugal.

Tobacco

Serbia, Turkey, Brazil, Switzerland, France, Bulgaria, Greece, Malawi, Germany,

Zimbabwe.

Oil seeds

USA, Paraguay, Brazil, Sudan, Ukraine, Turkey, Argentina, Egypt, India, Nigeria.

Cork and

wood

Sweden, Finland, Austria, France, Romania, Russia, Italy, Germany, Latvia,

Estonia.

Soya bean oil

Russia, Argentina, Italy, USA, Brazil, Canada, Netherlands, Spain, France.

Sugar

products

Ukraine, Brazil, India, Morocco, Egypt, Germany, Netherlands, France, Algeria,

Turkey.

Source: UN Comtrade

Figure 65 shows the import side of degree centrality. It is immediately apparent that Tunisia

tends to deal with fewer source markets than destination markets when it comes to leading

products. Moreoever, the level of concentration in geographical terms on the import side is fairly

constant over time, with no clear trend in evidence. Whereas Tunisia is clearly diversifying its

export base, the data suggest that trade relations on the import side tend to exhibit greater

hysterisis, in the sense that historical trade relations tend to be prolonged in time and do not

fluctuate or grow in the same way as links on the export side do.

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Imports OIC countries

Imports non-OIC countries