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Improving Public Debt Management

In the OIC Member Countries

152

in total public debt. The share of multilateral debt (debt extended by the IMF or the World

Bank) in foreign currency debt is comparably low at 2.8%.

In March 2016, 88.9% of outstanding foreign currency debt was kept in marketissued Eurobonds, 6.2% in private sector loans and 4.7% in debt related to the Paris conventions II and III.

Average time to maturity of foreign currency debt has steadily decreased from 7.24 years in

2008 to 6.07 years in March 2016. Public and publiclyguaranteed foreign currency debt is

mostly denominated in U.S. Dollars (around 92% of foreign currency debt in 2015) while debt

denominated in Euros accounts for only around 4.5%.

C) Policy Recommendations

Public debt management in Lebanon follows guidelines proposed by the World Bank and the

IMF. There is a Public Debt Directorate located at the MoF responsible for debt management.

However, there are still several institutions involved in public debt management. As long as all

public debt management functions are not centralized at the Public Debt Directorate, it is

important that regularly exchange of information and coordination is ensured. Lebanon’s debt

management strategy considers several risk indicators and sets objectives for the public debt

portfolio. The debt management strategy is published online and the MoF quarterly publishes

information on the public debt profile.

Regarding public debt developments, Lebanon is currently stuck in a vicious circle: increasing

debt necessitates higher debt servicing payments, which in turn increase budget deficits. These

budget deficits result in higher borrowing needs, new debt and, consequently, in increasing

debt stocks. Reducing Lebanon’s public debt stock should be a high priority for policy makers

in Lebanon. One possible instrument against rising public debt is the privatization of public

sector assets and companies. Privatization would increase government revenue through the

return on sales of public sector assets and also increase foreign direct investment, competition

in the respective markets and efficiency in the management of state owned companies.

Because of the currently high country risk, public sector assets might, however, be

undervalued if they were offered for sale at the moment. Alternatively, the formation of PublicPrivate Partnerships can bring some of the benefits of privatization (such as lower expenses

for the state) while leaving control over the assets in the hands of the public sector, which

makes them politically more feasible than privatizations. To achieve a reduction in public debt,

changes in the tax system might be necessary, such as a slight increase of the VAT (IMF 2015a)

or increases of corporate and interest tax rates (Neaime 2015, Credit Libanais 2016). It is also

important to improve the tax collection system.

The Public Debt Directorate and the Lebanese Central Bank are recommended to continue

making use of financial engineering schemes that lower the government’s cost of borrowing

and support fiscal sustainability. In particular, these schemes might be used to reduce the

yields on government bonds and, as such, the cost of debt. The maturity of public debt might be

expanded. These objectives could be achieved, for example, through swaps of domestic

currency debt to foreign currency debt which generally has lower yields and higher maturity.

In these regards, Lebanon has recently used swaps of domestic currency debt to Eurobonds.

The MTDS 20142016 also describes the intention to raise the share of foreign currency debt.

However, the use of these instruments is limited as the share of foreign currency debt is

already high amounting to 41% of total debt. Another scheme would be the swap of longterm

bonds with low coupon to a lower number of bonds with higher coupon. While this scheme

increases the cost of debt through higher coupon, it lowers the value of the outstanding public

debt stock.