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COMCEC Financial Outlook 2018

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commercial banks and other financial institutions that accept transferable deposits, such as

demand deposits.

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Since the role of the private sector in economic growth has been increasing all over the world,

this indicator provides a useful measure on how the financial markets and institutions are used

and affect the economy in terms of size. Recent empirical research has shown that economies

with better-developed banking and credit system tend to grow faster over long periods

(Demirgüç-Kunt, Levine 2008)

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. In this regard, domestic credit to the private sector to GDP

ratio is a significant indicator to measure the financial depth of any country.

As shown in the Figure 1 below, the OIC average of the private sector credit given by the

domestic banks is lower than the world average. While there has been a slight improvement in

recent years, the size of the private sector credit as a share of the GDP clearly indicates the

underdeveloped nature of the private sector in the OIC countries. OIC average in 2016 reached

38.2%while the world average for the same period realized as 52.8%. Among the OIC countries,

the rates have differed significantly across different income groups. As seen from the graph

below and as expected from the level of economic development, OIC-LIG and OIC-LMIG countries

have low levels of private credits from the banking sector. OIC countries have performed well

improvement over the last 5 years. Especially the rates for the OIC-HIG countries have increased

significantly over the years surpassing the world average and reached 73.2% in 2016.

As a result, it is found that there is a considerable gap between theWorld and OICMember States

average. This is a clear indication of the underdeveloped nature of the private sector and

banking in these countries and this issue can be seen as an important obstacle for investment

and economic growth of the OIC member countries.

Figure 1: Private Credit by Deposit Money Banks to GDP (%)

Source: Authors’ calculation from the World Bank Database

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Private credit by deposit money banks and other financial institutions to GDP, calculated using the following deflation method:

{(0.5)*[Ft/P_et + Ft-1/P_et-1]}/[GDPt/P_at] where F is credit to the private sector, P_e is end-of period CPI, and P_a is average

annual CPI. Raw data are from the electronic version of the IMF’s International Financial Statistics. Private credit by deposit

money banks (IFS line 22d and FOSAOP); GDP in local currency (IFS line NGDP); end-of period CPI (IFS line PCPI); and average

annual CPI is calculated using the monthly CPI values (IFS line PCPI).

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Benchmarking Financial Systems Around The World 2012, World Bank

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OIC-LIG

OIC-LMIG

OIC-UMIG

OIC-HIG OIC-Average World Average

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016