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Risk Management in Transport PPP Projects

In the Islamic Countries

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impact

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. The qualitative assessment involves a discussion of the parties’ ability to manage each

risk, and can produce a

descriptive ranking of risks

(e.g. high, medium, low) based on the risks’

likelihood and the severity of the impact on project outcomes, e.g. in terms of potential financial

relevance (APMG, 2016).

During the PPP appraisal phase, the public authority also carries out activities of early risk

mitigation, e.g. geo-technical tests when geo-technical risk represents a serious uncertainty for

the project.

3.2.3.

Procurement and contracting

The third phase, Procurement and contracting, is divided into four elements. For each of them,

the following Table sets out the relevant questions that guided the analysis throughout the

study.

Table 10: Overview of elements of Phase 3) Procurement and contracting

Phase

Elements included

Procurement

and contracting

Procurement strategies:

What are the main the procurement strategies adopted

to develop and implement projects? What are the main drivers behind the

identification and choice of the procurement different routes?

PPP contractual arrangements:

According to the risk sharing matrices for the

PPP transport projects, which project risks are allocated to public and private

party? Which types of project risks are shared? What are the pros and cons from

the risk management point of view? What type of financing schemes are adopted

for PPP transport projects? What are the main features of each type of financing

scheme? What are the pros and cons of the selected PPP methods, from a risk

allocation and management point of view? What is the typical concession/contract

period of transport PPP projects? What is the rationale behind? What are the types

of risks (including the ones that may be external to the project, i.e. environmental

risks) identified and allocated to the parties involved in PPPs for the different

options of PPP arrangements? What is the rationale underpinning risk allocation

(or risk transfer) strategies?

Performance metrics:

How do the foreseen values of the main performance

parameters (traffic, revenue, tariff ...) compare with the actual ones? What is the

rationale, the structure and content of output and performance measurement of

PPPs?

Remuneration:

How is performance metrics linked with payment to the private

party or compensation to the public?

Source: Authors.

Procurement strategies

Once the pre-tendering decision-making process is completed and the set of necessary

assessments carried out has led to the decision to develop the project as a PPP, the public

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A more complex approach to risk-adjusted costs is represented by the use of Montecarlo simulations, i.e.

computational algorithms relying on repeated random sampling to obtain numerical results, based on

previously inputted probabilities.