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Risk Management in Transport PPP Projects

In the Islamic Countries

40

materials); v) environmental concerns; vi) access to permits; vii) legal issues; viii) concerns

about the availability of data and information for project appraisal. This checklist can represent

a first tool structuring a systematic effort of data collection and enabling a preliminary

risk

identification

and

risk assessment

. If information on these issues is not available, further

studies should be performed.

After the technical soundness and socioeconomic desirability of a transport project are

confirmed, a

screening for PPP

suitability

takes place. It is key for the public entity in charge

of the project pipeline to collect all necessary information that may affect the choice about

whether or not to implement the project through a PPP scheme. Information already collected

for performing the CBA shall be useful for the PPP suitability test as well, e.g. the charging of

user fees; revenue estimates based on traffic forecasts; the need for public contribution. A well-

founded suitability test includes also the description of potential interest from private investors

and the availability of skills by the private sector for such a project. Performing the

PPP

suitability test

is crucial not only in order to ascertain if the project is appropriate as a PPP, but

also for

risk identification

. In fact, such test consists in a series of questions to be addressed

(APMG, 2016), among which:

Are there risks or uncertainties within the project that are not manageable by a private

partner?

Can the project be embedded within the legal framework as a PPP?

Is the project size big enough to justify the implicit costs of the transaction (e.g. the

management of a complex tender and contract)?

Would there be appetite on the side of investors? Are there different competitors

interested in the bid process? Are there already previous transactions developed as PPP

for this type of project in the region or in comparable regions?

Does bundling construction and operations and/or maintenance in a single contract make

sense? Does it make sense for a single operator to assume the risk and responsibilities in

a unitary project?

Are the stakeholders’ interests correctly surveyed and understood?

Are output requirements clearly identifiable?

A crucial part of the pre-tendering preparation of potential PPP projects lies in examining if the

development of the proposed infrastructure project with a PPP scheme can be foreseen to best

achieve

Value-for-Money

as compared to alternative options. To this end, as a quantitative

support to the decision-making process,

public sector comparators

can be used, i.e. estimates

of the hypothetical, whole-of-life cost of the project if financed by government under traditional

procurement (The World Bank et al., 2017).

If the suitability test concludes that the project is appropriate for a PPP, the investment can

proceed to the following stage, i.e. the assessment of the feasibility of the project itself as a PPP.

Before this, however, the procuring authority should evaluate the internal

resources and skills

for in-depth appraising

the potential PPP project, in order to understand whether to perform

this task internally or outsourcing it.