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Risk Management in Transport PPP Projects

In the Islamic Countries

234

structured definition

of the roles and responsibilities of the involved parties at the different

stages of the PPP project life-cycle as also recently commented by the International Monetary

Fund (IMF, 2018).

For the improvement of institutional capacity standardized guidelines and templates are

expected to be adopted according to the Eleventh Development Plan.

Investment attraction

The Turkish Authorities adopted several measures to

attract foreign investments

, including:

An equity/credit ratio equal to 20%/80% for PPPs;

VAT, stamp duty and charges extension;

Shadow toll or revenue guarantees by the procuring institution;

Termination payment commitments and investment guarantee by the procuring

institution;

Provision of Debt Assumption by the procuring institution for Airport projects or by the

Treasury for road BOTs with a minimum investment cost of 1 billion Turkish Liras;

«Step-in» right for the creditors;

Fee-free use of state-owned immovable assets and expropriation;

International arbitration.

The above investment conditions particularly favorable to attract foreign investments represent

to a large extent the result of the attempt by the Turkish Authorities to overcome the difficulties

experienced by several PPP concessionary companies in securing financial resources after the

start of the 2008 credit crunch, which caused in the past the delay and cancellation of initiatives

in the energy sector. As also commented by the International Monetary Fund, these measures

may however potentially expose the Turkish state to

financial and fiscal risks

, as particularly

in cases of economic downturns revenues from users and concession fees may significantly

reduce thus increasing the costs of the PPP projects for the state (IMF, 2018). Indeed, revenue

guarantees and investment guarantees transfer significant demand risk to the public partner.

Also, termination payment and debt assumption commitments transfer to the public partner the

risks that may result in early termination (including force majeure). In perspective, this risk may

become especially critical for the public sector, given the growing number of PPP projects and

the size of the investments.

What makes Turkey’s PPPs also attractive to foreign investments are the economic past trends

and perspectives of possible future further growth. According to private sector representatives

involved in the road market, the PPP institutional and legal system in place is not significantly

different from other countries, and traffic guarantees together with the potential of the Turkish

economy to grow makes their

participation in PPP road initiatives attractive

. Another

positive element is the certainty of the construction period of PPP projects, which generally

ranges from 3 to 5 years, whereas for conventional procurement implemented projects, the

construction phase may last more than ten years. Accordingly, PPPs present a more stable

planning activity and cash flows for contractors. Furthermore, BOT PPPs involving both

construction and operation and maintenance activities allows the contractors to expand their

business from the implementation phase of the project to the operation andmaintenance stages.