Planning of National Transport Infrastructure
In the Islamic Countries
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Performance measurement –KPI
Performance can be measured via the following indicators:
Present Value of Benefits (PVB) – total discounted benefits during the appraisal period
Present Value of Costs (PVC) – total discounted economic costs incurred during the
appraisal period
Economic Net Present value (ENPV) –the absolute size of the project net benefits.
Benefit to Cost Ratio (BCR) – the ratio between total benefit and costs. This gives the
relative size of the project net benefits but is independent of project size
Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) – Similar to BCR it is independent of project
size and gives an indication of the scale of benefits relative to the investment cost.
Scenarios
In many countries, planning bureaus have developed long term scenarios, in line with national
and international policies and developments. These scenario are incorporated in the NTI plans
and result in various sets of prognoses.
The use of scenarios is widely diffused because it allows to compare systemically different
possible outcomes. They are part of a top-down planning approach showing how different
alternatives perform under important future constraints. In the Strategic Infrastructure
Planning of 2017, OECD reports the case of scenario planning adopted by Australia. Despite the
fact of not being a common procedure for this country, the Australian Infrastructure Audit
implemented this strategy tomanage the uncertainty around infrastructure planning over a long
period of time (IA, 2015). There had been three different scenarios involved varying on
productivity and population keeping in consideration – but not undertaking economic analysis
of additional uncertainties – among which are the climate change, the implications of
demographic change and changes in local and global economy (IA, 2015: 40).
It is however necessary to mention also that scenarios analysis is not very popular yet among
policy makers. OECD (2017) reports as main reason that policy makers have a wide range of
targets and need to consider multiple aspects of the decision with its trade-offs. The example
provided is economic growth against environmental impacts.
Political choice between shortlisted options
The technical, financial and economic assessments provide the decision maker with a lot of
information. However, not all effects can be quantified or monetized. An MCA can be helpful to
the decision maker to make a choice that fits into the long term vision and policy objectives.
Romania National Transport Master Plan
Structure of the master Plan: Methodology – Present situation and trends – Per mode (also
intermodal): strategy operational CBA, MCA, interventions – Funding analysis – Overall strategy
2020-2030, including scenario’s
Objective: Master Plan is a high-level planning instrument, refers to major objectives of national
transport system, being large sized projects and actions. Aim to “identify the projects and
policies which will best meet Romania's National transport needs over the next 5-15 years, for