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Planning of National Transport Infrastructure

In the Islamic Countries

25

Only a fraction of the plans mentioned as examples is publicly available. The others are not

published in a public domain. This holds both for countries within and outside the OIC

geography.

When comparing formal procedures to isolated decision making, Mackie (2014) refers to

psychological reasons that apply to humans in general. This is when he explains why

formal

and

procedural

selection and appraisal

guidance in NTI planning is to be preferred to

isolated

decisions

by decision makers:

We are not good at considering many variables and aspects simultaneously; instead we

tend to focus on one or very few aspects and are often unaware that we do this;

We usually reach decisions very rapidly based on gut instinct or subconscious analogy.

Then we tend to look for evidence and arguments which support the decision;

We are prone to wishful thinking, optimism bias and loss aversion, so we have

difficulties in abandoning an idea or a decision once we have settled for it;

We tend to over-generalize, turning anecdotes or single cases into general rules;

We are not good at understanding or comparing different orders of magnitude;

Moreover, we are not aware of these processes and if made aware of them can find them

quite threatening.

We are also prone to making assumptions, which once made tend to be forgotten and not

followed up. Keeping track of assumptions and managing them properly is one of the single

biggest weakness in planning. If the assumptions were seriously monitored then the probability

of outcomes being achieved will be more realistically assessed.

OECD (2017) in its review of infrastructure planning strategies in the transport and energy

sectors identifies three similarities in how OECD countries do their planning, being that

the assessment of need for infrastructure investment is predominantly driven by

population and economic growth rates;

scenarios are used to consider different possible outcomes;

different forms of stakeholder consultation are part of the process.

In the following sections, the procedural aspects of NTI related to finance, stakeholder

consultation and planning horizon, are elaborated.

2.5.1. Procedural Factors in OIC Countries

Funding

Funding in OIC countries is predominantly following the conventional routing of public finance

or tax funding. Alternative funding is private funding. User-based funding can be combined both

with public and private funding. According to the survey that has been undertaken within the

framework of this study, only 34% of the OIC member states indicate that the level of private

funding is high, and the rest indicated that the level of private funding is between mediocre to

very low. Similarly Academics indicated that they agreed.