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Preferential Trade Agreements and Trade Liberalization Efforts in the OIC Member States

With Special Emphasis on the TPS-OIC

192

6.

CONCLUDING COMMENTS

Overall the result of the analysis in this section is that the TPS-OIC agreement is expected to

have a fairly small effect on total trade and on intra-OIC trade. Trade within the TPS-OIC is not

particularly high and there are some FTAs in place that might have already exploited that

trade. Therefore, there is comparatively little scope for further liberalisation within the

agreement. The agreement as currently constituted, presents somewhat low levels of ambition.

Coverage is limited and the liberalisation schedules are potentially ineffective in reducing

tariffs. Moreover, for some members, the schedule has been defined in such a way that will not

produce any reduction in the tariff applied by the GCC members. For Turkey, on the other

hand, it is clear that additional tariff reductions are limited to the extent that Turkey has a

customs union with the EU. Moreover, the TPS-OIC will not improve the current level of access

to Turkey by countries such as Bangladesh, Pakistan or Jordan. As a consequence, as a result of

the minimal expected effects of the TPS-OIC agreement, the welfare effects of the agreement on

consumers and producers are also expected to be low.

However, the Voluntary Fast Track Tariff Reduction Schedule could give a boost to the trade

and welfare effects. Although for those countries under FTAs or receiving unilateral

preferences the effects will continue to be minimal, the TPS-OIC under the Fast Track could

boost trade, particularly with respect to the imports of Pakistan, Jordan and Bangladesh from

each of the other Contracting Countries of TPS-OIC (except for those members with FTAs with

these countries). Turkey imports are expected to increase only from the GCC members. Given

the low levels of their tariff structures, GCC imports would continue exempt, of any

liberalisation commitment.