Increasing the Resilience of the Food Systems
In Islamic States in Face of Future Food Crises
46
Table 19: Acute Food Insecurity Forecast in OIC Countries
Country 2018 Peak
Number*
(Million)
2018
Peak
Number-
Period
2019
Estimated
Peak
Number*
(Million)
Highest
Expected
Classification
Main Drivers
Yemen 15.9 Dec 2018
– Jan 2019
15+ PHASE 4
Emergency
Insecurity, and
related
displacement;
Economic shocks –
downturn
Afghanistan 10.6 Nov – Dec
2018
10.6 PHASE 4
Emergency
Insecurity;
Climate shocks – dry
spells, and related
displacement
Syrian Arab
Republic
6.5 Jan – Dec
2018
N/A N/A Insecurity, and
related
displacement;
Climate shocks - dry
spells, and related
production shortfalls
Sudan 6.2 May – July
2018
5.0 - 9.99 PHASE 4
Emergency
Economic shocks -
downturn; insecurity,
and related
displacement
Nigeria (16
States and
Federal Capital
Territory)
5.3 June – Aug
2018
4.5 PHASE 4
Emergency
Insecurity and
related
displacement;
Climate shocks –
floods
Somalia 2.7 Feb – May
2018
1.6 PHASE 4
Emergency
Insecurity;
Climate shocks - dry
spells, and related
displacement
Note: *Population in IPC/CHPhase 3 or above (food crisis or Worse)
Source: Global Report on Food Crises 2019
As of December, Yemen faced the most critical food security crisis in 2018, with 15.9 million151
of its population of 29.9 million in food crisis or worse, facing high or very high acute
malnutrition. Sixty-four thousand people were in a catastrophe state, which indicates an
extreme lack of food.
Conflict triggered the collapse of the health system, destruction of livelihoods and infrastructure,
and currency depreciation. Domestic food production was impacted by high fuel costs and
climatic events, such as rainfall shortages and cyclones. Two million people were internally
displaced.152
151 Food Security Information Network. (2019, April). Global Report on Food Crises2019. Retrieved from
152 UNHCR. (2018, December). UNHCR Yemen Fact Sheet. Retrieved from