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Analysis of Agri-Food Trade Structures

To Promote Agri-Food Trade Networks

In the Islamic Countries

35

Import growth in the African Group has been most rapid for cotton (26.8% per annum), palm

oil (14.0% per annum), and cocoa (13.5% per annum). For the Arab Group, import growth has

been most rapid in crustaceans (18.1% per annum), bread products (15.1% per annum), and

chocolate products (13.1% per annum). In the Asian Group, the three fastest growing import

categories were live animals (18.8%), coffee (13.9% per annum), and chocolate products

(12.6% per annum).

Taking these results together, there is clear evidence of trade dynamism at a disaggregated level

in all regional groups. From the point of the OIC as a trade network, however, it is also important

to look at the direction of trade. Figure 16 shows a breakdown of the African Group’s exports by

destination region, distinguishing between the three OIC regional groups, and an aggregate non-

OIC group. In 2005, the African Group’s exports in most product categories went

overwhelmingly to non-OIC countries, and to other African countries. It is expected to a see

strong intra-regional dimension to the trade network, but some products, like cocoa and

chocolate, fruits and nuts, and crude rubber are exceptions, with little intra-African trade. To the

extent that there is a pattern, it suggests that staple products are the most traded intra-

regionally, while inputs into food processing industries are typically traded more distantly,

given the relative lack of industrialization regionally. Although the basic pattern is the same in

2016, with exports dominated by intra-regional flows and flows to non-OIC countries, there is a

significant change in terms of the increasing importance of the Asian Group as a destination for

the African Group’s exports in sectors like cocoa and chocolate, palm oil, and cotton. This

dynamic is driven by the fact that these goods are inputs into the production of labor-intensive

manufactured goods, such as processed food products, and textiles and garments. Asian

members have been developing these industries strongly over recent years, with consequence

derived demand for inputs, which is partially supplied by other OIC countries. For coffee, the

Arab Group remains an important destination market

Figure 17 presents a similar analysis for the Arab Group. In 2005, trade within the Arab Group

was more strongly intra-regional than trade in the African Group, and trade with non-OIC

members was relatively more important. Among other OIC regional groups, only the Asian

Group was a significant export destination in 2005. The same general picture of strong intra-

regional trade links persists into 2016, but there is a noticeable rise in exports to non-OIC

members, typically at the expense, in relative terms, of exports to the Asian Group. One likely

driver is regional integration efforts between some Arab Group members and the European

Union (non-OIC). Policy changes, including trade agreements, have a significant impact on trade

flows, and could be a partial explanation of this change. This dynamic is the opposite of what

was seen for the African Group, where exports to the Asian Group increased in relative

importance over the last decade, largely in the absence of formal trade agreements.

Finally, Figure 18 contains an analysis of the trade network for the Asian Group. In 2005, exports

to non-OIC members were dominant in most sectors, although intra-regional exports were also

important in some cases as well. This dynamic in part reflects the extension of regional

integration agreements within Asia, but including a mix of OIC member countries and non-

members. Exports to the Arab Group are significant in relative terms in cocoa and chocolate,

palm oil, vegetables, rice, and live animals. Only in the case of rice are exports to the African

Group significant. 2016 was characterized by a relatively similar distribution of exports across

destination regions as in 2005.