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Improving Public Debt Management

In the OIC Member Countries

165

Foreign borrowing

In June 2016, the government accessed international debt markets for the first time since 1997

and issued bonds in the amount of $2.5 billion denominated in U.S. dollar with five and ten

year maturities. Yields of these bonds were about 4.72% (Wall Street Journal 2016). The

government plans to borrow a further $10 billion in the next four years to plug its budget

balance deficit.

C) Policy Recommendations

After decades of very low debt levels, Oman has been experiencing increasing debt levels since

2014 because of the decline in oil prices. To maintain fiscal sustainability and support the US

dollar exchange rate peg over the mediumto longterm, fiscal adjustment measures are

important. Fiscal reforms are also likely to reduce borrowing costs and support economic

growth. Furthermore, the exchange rate peg may lead to overevaluation of the Rial. Therefore

the possibility of adjusting the exchange rate might be considered. The saving measures

already initiated are a step in the right direction. It is recommended to anchor fiscal

adjustments by a mediumterm fiscal framework and include phasing out remaining subsidies,

further contain recurrent government expenditures, and introduce excise duties on specific

goods (IMF 2016). Furthermore, a reform of the pension system may be initiated in the near

future before the fiscal burden on the budget increases even further.

Oman is selling government financial assets to compensate the revenue shortfalls in the shortrun. However the country has limited fiscal buffers and financing the budget deficit may

require additional borrowing, both domestically and externally. Oman has historically

benefited from low debt levels that have kept borrowing costs down. Thus, issuing debt on

international debt markets does not necessarily pose a significant risk at the moment. But as

public debt is rising, this situation may change in the mediumto longrun. Hence, the pace and

efficiency of fiscal reforms may help to pursue sustainable fiscal policies, not only on reducing

the budget deficit, but also on attracting investors.

Developing a further deepened and liquid domestic debt market requires proactive efforts

from the government, central bank and market participants. Regular issuance of government

debt with different maturities would support the establishment of a yield curve and help foster

the development of the domestic debt market. The government may resort to TBills for

financing recurrent expenditures. TBills help the licensed commercial banks to invest their

surplus funds and increase their diversification options for liquidity management. TBills also

promote the local money market by creating a benchmark yield curve for shortterm interest

rates (IMF 2011). Additionally, issuing

sukuk

might support the development of Oman's

Islamic finance market and can give the government a new channel to raise money from

specialized investors, e.g. state funds.

The authorities in Oman are encouraged to continue strengthening the institutional framework

for public debt management to ensure that financing needs are effectively managed. Oman

may develop a time bound road map for an efficient market for government securities, which

may start with an enactment of a “Public Debt Act for Oman” (IMF 2008, p. 17). The setup of a

centralized, independent Debt Management Office inside the MoF is welcomed. A mediumto

longterm debt management strategy could be developed. A focused issuance program of

government securities is essential to establish benchmark securities, further improve the

CBO’s monetary policy operations and spur market development (IMF 2013).