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COMCEC Transport and Communications

Outlook 2017

38

Regarding the number of air passengers throughout the 1993-2015 period, Figure 17 reveals

that OIC-MENA outperformed other regions since 1993 while OIC-Sub-Saharan Africa remained

well below the other regions during this period.

Figure 17: Total air passengers carried in the OIC regions (1993-2016)

Source: Author from the World Bank World Development Indicators

In general, more populous countries tend to have higher air passenger traffic. In addition, the

income level, geographical position and the availability of alternative transport modes affect the

level of air passenger traffic in that country. For example, higher per capita income countries are

more likely to have higher per capita air passenger traffic. Similarly, it is possible to observe that

island countries where surface transport linkages are quite limited have higher per capita air

passenger traffic figures. To analyse the linkage between population and air passenger

movements for the OIC Member States, the air passenger movements of the member states were

normalized with their populations. In this regard, Table 14 presenting the ratios of air

passengers carried to the populations of each member state has several implications. Firstly, in

parallel to the theory, the high income gulf countries such as Qatar, UAE, and Bahrain and island

states like Brunei Darussalam and Malaysia have higher per capita air passenger traffic figures.

Secondly, the OIC countries with dominant network airlines are more likely to experience higher

per capita air passenger traffic. Thanks to their well-established hub-and-spoke system, large

network airlines such as Turkish Airlines and Emirates can achieve higher economies of scale

and thus enjoy higher per capita air passenger traffic.

0

50.000.000

100.000.000

150.000.000

200.000.000

250.000.000

300.000.000

350.000.000

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Air transport, passengers carried

OIC-Sub Saharan Africa

OIC-Asia

OIC-MENA

OIC-Average