COMCEC Transport and Communications
Outlook 2017
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Regarding the number of air passengers throughout the 1993-2015 period, Figure 17 reveals
that OIC-MENA outperformed other regions since 1993 while OIC-Sub-Saharan Africa remained
well below the other regions during this period.
Figure 17: Total air passengers carried in the OIC regions (1993-2016)
Source: Author from the World Bank World Development Indicators
In general, more populous countries tend to have higher air passenger traffic. In addition, the
income level, geographical position and the availability of alternative transport modes affect the
level of air passenger traffic in that country. For example, higher per capita income countries are
more likely to have higher per capita air passenger traffic. Similarly, it is possible to observe that
island countries where surface transport linkages are quite limited have higher per capita air
passenger traffic figures. To analyse the linkage between population and air passenger
movements for the OIC Member States, the air passenger movements of the member states were
normalized with their populations. In this regard, Table 14 presenting the ratios of air
passengers carried to the populations of each member state has several implications. Firstly, in
parallel to the theory, the high income gulf countries such as Qatar, UAE, and Bahrain and island
states like Brunei Darussalam and Malaysia have higher per capita air passenger traffic figures.
Secondly, the OIC countries with dominant network airlines are more likely to experience higher
per capita air passenger traffic. Thanks to their well-established hub-and-spoke system, large
network airlines such as Turkish Airlines and Emirates can achieve higher economies of scale
and thus enjoy higher per capita air passenger traffic.
0
50.000.000
100.000.000
150.000.000
200.000.000
250.000.000
300.000.000
350.000.000
199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016
Air transport, passengers carried
OIC-Sub Saharan Africa OIC-Asia OIC-MENA OIC-Average