Increasing Broadband Internet Penetration
In the OIC Member Countries
12
broadband (also called the “construction effect”). Effect 2 depicts the impact of broadband on
business productivity by reducing transaction costs and enhancing the efficiency of enterprises
(sometimes referred as “spill over effect”). Effect 3 posits the increase in average household
income as a result of enhancing the capacity of the population to market its skills. Effects 2 and
3 contribute in turn to GDP growth. Effect IV, which is not captured in the GDP statistics, has to
do with an increase in consumer surplus, is measured as the value created to consumers when
they access the Internet (for example, to use e-Government and e-Health applications, or
download information and entertainment). This section will present the results of research
conducted over the past twenty years in support of the argument that broadband technology
has a significant impact on economic growth and job creation.
Broadband impact on GDP growth
The measurement of the economic and social contribution of broadband technology has faced
three types of methodological challenges. First, since broadband has been deployed in such a
short time-span, it is only very recently that researchers have gained access to sufficiently
large disaggregated data sets that allow identifying quantitatively the conditions under which
broadband has a social and economic effect. Second, considering that broadband is an access
technology, its economic contribution only materializes with the information that it is
supposed to transmit. In other words, broadband penetration does not result in an automatic
impact on economic growth: content and information processing capacity are critical enablers
for this contribution to materialize. The third methodological challenge has to do with the
determination of the direction of causal impact: does broadband have an impact on economic
growth or is it economic development that triggers an increase in broadband consumption
2
.
Over time, researchers have been able to overcome these challenges providing policy makers
with increasing evidence that broadband technology should be considered a general purpose
technology, meaning that its adoption can affect an entire economy, potentially altering
societies through its impact on pre-existing economic and social structures. Initially, due to
limitations on data availability, the majority of the studies focused on the impact of fixed
broadband on OECD countries (Bojnec & Ferto, 2012; Czernich et al., 2011; Koutroumpis,
2009) or particular statistics-rich developed countries – for example, the United States
(Crandall, Lehr, & Litan, 2007; Shideler, Badasyan, & Taylor, 2007; Thompson and Garbacz,
2009). When more data became available for countries in the emerging world, researchers
were able to begin generating evidence of broadband impact in developing countries (Kumar
et al., 2016 for China, Chavula, 2013 for Africa, and Katz et al, 2012, 2013, 2014 for several
developing countries in Africa, Asia, and Latin America). The first body of evidence of the
positive effect of broadband focused on fixed technologies since they were the first to be
adopted (see Table 2).
2
The implication of this statement is critical since if it is economic growth that leads to broadband penetration, policy
makers should not implement initiatives aimed at fostering broadband adoption; they should emphasize conventional
economic development policies which would lead over time to a diffusion of broadband.