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Improving Transport Project Appraisals

In the Islamic Countries

159

sometimes the result of extrapolation from past trends.

Result of project appraisal

Project appraisal is in the vast majority of cases used for

justification of a transport infrastructure

project

. Results are expressed in

Net Present Value

(NPV) or

Internal Rate of Return

(IRR), when

a CBA is the methodology such as for example in Iran. In other cases, for example in KSA, MCA is

used to

prioritise

projects and to develop an

action plan

. In this case, the results are expressed

in terms of scores over a number of different criteria.

Follow-up and learning

Monitoring

of project implementation is taking place in most cases. However,

ex-post evaluation

is often not carried out. Half of the respondents to the survey indicated that ex-post evaluation

of projects is not carried out. In most cases, there is no clear

project cycle approach

, which links

subsequent steps (identification, selection, appraisal, design, tendering and contracting,

implementation, monitoring and evaluation).

10.2

Policy recommendations related to transport project appraisals

10.2.1

General recommendations

While alternative solutions and approaches do exist to address each of the aspects identified in

the conceptual framework, as presented i

n Figure 10.1,

the international practice suggests that

a

consistent framework

for

identifying, coordinating, evaluating and implementing public

investments

project should include at least the following items:

A

legal requirement

to evaluate all investment initiatives: the decision to perform project

appraisal should not be left to own initiatives of project promoters or funding agencies but

should be promoted and enforced, possibly by law. Such requirements can be general for all

public investments or specific depending on sectors or types of projects. It is important,

however, that it defines, with a certain degree of detail, the

objective

of the appraisal, the

appropriate

scope and timing

, the

methodology

to be used and its specifications.

The legal requirement may remain unapplied if it is not translated into a

system of norms,

procedures and methodological support,

including the centralized definition of accounting

prices. The promotion of

capacity development

and the

certification of competences

can

strengthen the adherence to certain quality standards.

A

governance system

defining

clear and separate roles

for, on one side, the institution that

reviews and approves

the appraisal of projects, and on the other side the institutions

promoting projects

. In fact, an appropriate “checks and balances” system can ensure that

appropriate incentives are in place to systematically require that good quality analysis are

carried out and used to inform the decision-making process.

Multistage evaluations

with various filters and supervisory and quality control mechanisms

should follow the, sometimes long and complex, process of project idea generation, design

and specification.

Finally, a system of

monitoring, periodic follow up and updates,

as well as

ex-post evaluation

can help to identify forecasting errors or managerial problems and taking appropriate and

timely measures to reduce risks.