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Improving Transport Project Appraisals

In the Islamic Countries

110

Value of Statistical Life

The value of a road safety casualty is incorporated in project appraisal at a level of the insurance

money that would need to be paid. This value is relatively low and depends on a case by case

basis. No Value of Statistical Life calculations have been made. The fact that relatively low

monetary values are applied, results in relatively low road safety impact in monetary terms.

Project duration

Project duration is determined on a case by case basis. The examples reviewed, indicate a

normal pattern of project duration. For example, in the Amman-Zarqa BRT case, a

30 year

project

duration has been applied. No prescribed standards are applied for similar type of projects.

Cases study: Amman-Zarqa Bus Rapid Transit (BRT).

This BRT project will be implemented as a PPP project, including a combination of:

Public sector part

: providing infrastructure and superstructure (two terminals and four

stations),

Private sector part

: provision of rolling stock and ITS system.

The estimated capital investment is 120 million EUR. The project is receiving financial support

through regional sources, including a GCC grant awarded through the Kuwaiti Development

Fund. In addition, a loan is provided by AFD for technical assistance on preparing the feasibility

study and supporting the tendering process for the private sector part. The project consists of

operating buses between Amman and Zarqa in order to reduce congestion on the highway

connecting the two cities and decrease the transport time for passengers (estimated from

around 40 minutes to 20-25 minutes). The Land Transport Regulatory Commission (LTRC) will

be responsible for regulating operations of the BRT lines once the project is completed.

For the provision of infrastructure and superstructure (the public sector part), the process is

managed by a dedicated

Steering Committee

, with decision-making authority, and a

Technical

Committee

, guiding the process and advising the Steering Committee. This process is supported

by a consortium of Systra, AEC and DarAl-Omran in preparing the feasibility study. The

feasibility study indicated positive results. As a subsequent step, the tendering process was

launched, in accordance with national procurement law, which has resulted in the award of four

contracts awarded, each for approximately 5 km of the total stretch of 20 km. A review of the

feasibility study indicates that all standard process steps have been applied, including demand

analysis, cost benefit analysis and risk analysis. The following input parameters were applied in

the CBA: a discount rate of 8%, a duration of 30 years, VoT of 2.16 JOT for the year 2047

92

.

Regarding the five steps, as established in the PPP manual, the following can be recorded in

relation to the private sector part:

92

Based on a project duration of 30 years. The VoT applied could be a weighted average of the values presented in Table

1.5, corrected for growth of GDP per capita.