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Improving Public Debt Management

In the OIC Member Countries

5

the average time to refixing; and targets used for refinancing risk include a ceiling on maturing

debt within one year (in % of total outstanding debt) and the average time to maturity.

4 Public Debt Management Practices in Individual OIC Member Countries

The low and lowermiddle income African countries Gambia, Mozambique, Togo, Uganda, as

well as Sudan have shares of external public debt in total public debt of about or over 50%.

These figures indicate an

underdeveloped domestic debt market

. The high share of debt

denominated in foreign currencies exposes these countries to exchange rate risk. Nigeria is an

exception among the African countries with external public debt amounting to only about 18%

of total public debt.

The

external public debt

of low and lowermiddle income countries with high shares of

external public debt is largely held by official creditors such as international organizations and

governments. Low and lowermiddle income countries often face difficulties in financing

themselves on international capital markets. Official creditors lend at preferential interest

rates and at longer maturities than private creditors. Consequently, the case study countries

with a high share of external public debt have lower interest rates and longer average

maturities in their government debt portfolio.

Other case study countries such as Egypt and Lebanon strongly rely on the

domestic debt

market

. High interest rates on government debt and preferences for safe lending reduce the

incentives of banks to provide credit to the private sector in these countries, leading to a

crowding-out of bank loans t the private sector

. Banks tend to invest in shortterm

instruments to avoid asset and liability mismatches with shortterm bank deposits. Lebanon

has recently made progress in reducing the reliance on the domestic debt market especially

through a swap of domestic currency debt to Eurobonds.

Given the different debt levels and structures,

debt management strategies

vary among the

case study countries. Out of the 15 case study countries, eleven have developed formal debt

management strategies. Uganda, Egypt, Indonesia, Nigeria, Albania and Lebanon have

published numerical targets for risks in the public debt portfolio. Turkey has set numerical

targets but does not disclose these numbers. Gambia, Mozambique and Togo have set general

objectives but do not formulate specific targets. Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Kazakhstan and Oman do

not have or do not disclose targets.

Iran and Sudan all local banks operate under

Islamic finance rules,

while in SaudiArabia

onethird of all local banks can be considered as fully Islamic. Consequently, Islamic finance

instruments also play an important role for public debt management in these countries. DebttoGDP ratios in Iran and Saudi Arabia are very low, amounting to 17.1% and 5.8% in 2015.

Public debt in Saudi Arabia is completely domestic, while the share of domestic public debt in

Iran accounts for more than 90%. Declining oil revenues give rise to additional borrowing

needs and these countries plan to also tap international debt markets. To prepare

international bond issuances, legal and organizational structures for debt management are

being established at the moment. In contrast, Sudan has a relatively high public debt ratio

(68.9%) and about 90% of public debt is external.

The central bank of Saudi Arabia (SAMA) issues SAMA Bills and the government has issued

Government Development Bonds (GDBs). Although GDBs are not defined as Islamic bonds,

they are “

zak h

(compulsory alms) deductible” for domestic investors. The general rise in

popularity of corporate and quasisovereign

sukuk

and other Islamic finance instruments in

Saudi Arabia indicate that Islamic bonds will play also a bigger role in the future of the

country’s public debt management.