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Barriers and Opportunities for Enhancing Capital Flows

In the COMCEC Member Countries

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FDI and other inflows to these countries remain relatively weak, in part because reform

remains at an early stage, including reform of large state-owned enterprises. Algeria – which

has a large land mass, a rich natural resource base and relative political stability – has

significant untapped potential, despite high energy prices. There is scope for development in

the state’s financial markets, regulatory environment, and institutional frameworks.

Other nations are succeeding in attracting significant private capital flows – including Turkey

(US$95bn in 2013), Kazakhstan (US$52bn) and Malaysia (US$29bn),

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yet each of the

countries in the upper-middle income group faces country-specific challenges, some of which

are outlined below.

General barriers

Rule of law, transparency and uncertainty.

Investors consistently cite uncertainty

around the repatriation of profits as a major barrier to investment.

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In some UMICs,

the tendency of governments to interfere in the economy in efforts to protect domestic

interests creates further uncertainty among foreign investors. In Kazakhstan, for

example, fears of government involvement in oil and gas contracts present a

significant obstacle to promoting further investment in the sector.

Unattractive taxation regimes.

Governments in UMICs such as Kazakhstan have

attempted to increase taxes in certain sectors, including the energy sector, in order to

support the country’s economic diversification efforts. While powerful multinationals

may hold some sway over local governments in such situations, foreign investors with

fewer resources may face uncertainty and instability.

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This may attract corrupt

practices and regulatory capture.

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Low levels of business integration.

Some countries fail to capitalise on economic

reforms that they push through owing to a lack of technical expertise and technological

capacity. In Tunisia, efforts to bolster FDI by attracting multinational companies to

assemble export goods in the country have floundered because a lack of technological

know-how has left MENA-based companies with poor links to global supply chains.

Barriers relating to financial stability and institutional capacity

Restrictions on foreign ownership.

A number of countries in this income group

routinely impose restrictions on foreign ownership, which can differ by sector. In

Kazakhstan, the National Security Law states that foreign investors may not hold more

than 49% of a long-distance or international communications operator that owns land

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EIU country data, 2013

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Interview with official from

Global Competitiveness

, World Economic Forum, September 10th 2013

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“Doing business in Kazakhstan: reach, relevance and reliability”, Deloitte, 2013.

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Regulatory capture describes the situation when regulated industries are able to influence their

regulator so that regulation that ostensibly serves the public interest actually supports the interest of

the industry concerned