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Barriers and Opportunities for Enhancing Capital Flows

In the COMCEC Member Countries

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Solid guarantees of financial institutions and implicit government support

Non-excessive regulation

Regulators with a sound understanding of exchange rate risk, credit risk, liquidity risk

and other risks.

4.4.

GLOBAL LIQUIDITY AS A DRIVER OF FINANCIAL FLOWS

Besides internal factors driving capital inflows to developing economies, external factors may

also play a role. Economists who hold the “external factor view” argue that capital inflows to

developing economies rise when financing conditions in investor countries ease. In these

cases, it is portfolio investment flows in particular that are strengthened by favourable

liquidity conditions and a benign macroeconomic environment across the globe; by contrast,

FDI inflows are more dependent on internal factors in the recipient country.

The role that external factors play in driving capital flows is highlighted by Figure 4.1 below,

from analysis undertaken by the European Central Bank showing that quantitative easing (QE)

policies of the US in recent years boosted portfolio capital inflows to many emerging countries.

Figure 4.1: The cumulative impact of US quantitative easing and other control variables

on equity portfolio flows

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to emerging countries

Source: “On the international spillovers of US quantitative easing”, European Central Bank

Working Paper, June 2013

A number of drivers may explain this phenomenon, such as low interest rates in developed

economies, which encourage investors to search elsewhere for higher yields, or low interest

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Expressed as a percentage of assets under management in the country of destination