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Forced Migration in the OIC Member Countries:

Policy Framework Adopted by Host Countries

84

Turkey at a disadvantage in the competition for international humanitarian aid. The Turkish

government has spent as much as USD 10 billion on humanitarian assistance and in the

establishment of its protection regime.

93

However, as of June 2016, it said it had received only

USD 455 million from the international community.

94

Funds pledged under the EU-Turkey

statement may change this calculus substantially if the statement is fully implemented, but as

of June 2016 the flow of funds was as yet only a trickle.

95

In addition to Turkey-specific

funding requirements, UNHCR programs affecting Turkey have also been underfunded. The

3RP Regional Refugee Resilience Plan was over 60 percent unfunded for 2015-2016.

96

Without funding, Turkey will have difficulty implementing and monitoring programs for

poverty alleviation among protected populations.

The strains on local Turkish communities resulting from absorbing millions of refugees and

asylum seekers have been especially acute. Newcomers are seen in many cities as culturally

distinct, and expectations about the length of their stay have been wildly inaccurate.

97

The first evident impact of the mass influx of Syrian forced migrants in Turkey has been a

rapid increase in competition in both the labor and housing markets. Several studies have

suggested that the classic model of Syrians replacing Turks in low-skilled, informal work

misses key parts of the story. A 2013 economic analysis for the World Bank acknowledged

that Syrians do replace Turks in informal jobs, but found that more formal jobs, with better

pay, have been created for Turks in the same sectors.

98

A more recent study in 2015 found

that natives’ employment rates are unaffected by refugee arrivals, with larger impacts felt

through local inflation of prices.

99

Despite these results, perceptions of Syrians taking Turkish

jobs resonate strongly. As part of a study conducted by ORSAM, 40 to 100 percent of laid-off

Turkish workers surveyed believed Syrians were to blame for their dismissal.

100

In addition to competition in the labor force, it has been reported that Syrian small businesses

sometimes engage in unfair competition with Turkish rivals, for example if they fail to register

with the local chamber of commerce and thus avoid paying taxes.

101

Competition has also had

an impact on the housing market, where Turkish tenants have reported being evicted so that

landlords can install Syrian renters who they can charge more for less service.

102

Increased competition with forced migrants might make life more difficult for locals, but it

cannot be overlooked that some Turks have benefitted from this phenomenon. Turkish

93

Bas Haber, “Erdoğan: Suriyelilere 10 milyar dolar harcadık,” May 17, 2016,

http://bas-haber.com/tr/news/14733/erdogan-suriyelilere-10-milyar-dolar-harcadik

($10 billion) ; Metin Çorabatır,

The

Evolving Approach to Protection in Turkey

, 19 ($10 billion) ; Grisgraber and Hollingsworth,

Planting the Seeds of Success?

Turkey’s New Refugee Work Permits

($8 billion) ; Kirişci and Ferris,

Not Likely to Go Home

, 3 ($5.6 billion).

94

Kirişci and Ferris,

Not Likely to Go Home

, 3.

95

AFAD, “Giriş,” accessed July 8, 2016,

https://www.afad.gov.tr/TR/IcerikDetay1.aspx?ID=16&IcerikID=747

96

Kirişci and Ferris,

Not Likely to Go Home

, 2.

97

M. Murat Erdoğan,

Syrians in Turkey: Social Acceptance and Integration Research

(Ankara: Hacettepe University Migration

and Politics Research Center, November 2014); ORSAM and TESEV,

Effects of the Syrian Refugees on Turkey

.

98

Ximena V. del Carpio and Mathis Wagner,

The Impact of Syrian Refugees on the Turkish Labor Market

(World Bank Policy

Research Working Paper No. 7402, August 24, 2015),

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2650218 .

99

Yusuf Emre Akgündüz, Marcel van den Berg and Wolter Hassink,

The Impact of Refugee Crises on Host Labor Markets: The

Case of the Syrian Refugee Crisis in Turkey

(IZA Discussion Paper No. 8841, February 2015),

http://ftp.iza.org/dp8841.pdf .

100

ORSAM and TESEV,

Effects of the Syrian Refugees on Turkey

, 17.

101

ORSAM and TESEV,

Effects of the Syrian Refugees on Turkey

, 8 ; Syria Research and Evaluation Organization (SREO),

The

Socioeconomic Impact of Syrian Urban Refugees in Gaziantep: An Initial Assessment

(SREO, October 2013), 18,

http://www.alnap.org/pool/files/179848309-the-socioeconomic-impact-of-syrian-urban-refugees-in-gaziantep-an-initial- assessment-(1).pdf .

102

ORSAM and TESEV,

Effects of the Syrian Refugees on Turkey

, 17