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Analysis of Agri-Food Trade Structures

To Promote Agri-Food Trade Networks

In the Islamic Countries

50

development of the intra-OIC trade network, as the organization has a diverse membership in

geographical terms, so it will be important to look at ways of reducing trade costs that are not

unduly focused on intra-regional partnerships. Complementarity of trade flows in agriculture is

a reason for working in a non-discriminatory way to ensure that cross-regional linkages can take

place and develop adequately, as distant partners often have different climactic situations and

comparative advantages, so they are comparatively well placed to take advantage of market

opportunities, subject to being able to overcome trade costs. Subsection 4 investigates the role

of policy in driving these outcomes.

Table 10: Average out Degree Centrality for Leading Products, by Exporting Regional Group,

2005 and 2016

African Group

Arab Group

Asian Group

2005

2016

2005

2016

2005

2016

Live animals

4.92

4.32

4.58

7.52

6.90

7.21

Tobacco

3.89

5.60

5.83

8.28

11.21

10.75

Oil seeds

4.06

5.78

5.38

5.79

8.11

8.66

Crude rubber

6.58

5.09

2.96

4.23

10.65

12.71

Cork and wood

8.69

6.50

4.90

6.58

9.58

12.30

Rice

2.11

3.00

7.56

4.71

11.52

9.80

Vegetables

5.43

5.87

10.53

12.00

10.89

11.26

Fruit and nuts

5.59

6.58

10.74

14.82

16.00

14.37

Coffee

6.04

6.22

5.96

7.50

10.65

13.36

Other edible products

5.24

6.16

10.13

16.66

15.25

20.00

Cotton

6.46

4.55

5.13

3.77

9.19

11.00

Bread products

3.60

2.95

11.21

12.55

14.63

16.39

Palm oil

3.39

3.18

4.45

4.75

18.14

22.50

Fish and crustaceans

10.34

10.21

11.61

14.29

19.81

20.48

Cocoa and chocolate

6.73

5.33

8.34

10.58

18.90

20.03

Rest of 06

3.13

3.15

5.76

9.50

9.17

11.17

Rest of 04

3.05

3.78

4.76

6.53

6.84

9.17

Source: Authors’ calculations based on UN Comtrade Data.

3.3.

Trade Balances and Comparative Advantage

The above analysis has considered exports and imports separately. However, it is possible to

sum them to produce a measure of the product-level balance of trade. A negative figure indicates

that a region is a net importer of the product in question, while a positive value indicates that it

is a net exporter. From an economic point of view, a position of deficit or surplus is not

informative. It simply reflects comparative advantage, a point that is examined in further detail

below. Policymakers should avoid undue concern with the aggregate balance of trade, summing

across all products, as it is largely driven by macroeconomic factors, specifically the balance

between savings and investment, rather than factors specific to trade. An undue focus on a net

deficit position, for example, can lead to overuse of active trade policy to the detriment of local

consumers.