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COMCEC Poverty Outlook 2018
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Table 7an
d Table 8can be interpreted as transition matrices. According t
o Table 7,out of 21 OIC
member states which were placed in low development category in 1990, 18 ended up in the same
category in 2000 and 3 climbed to medium development category. There was no transition from
medium development category neither downwards nor upwards. For two countries in high
development category in 1990, one country remained in the same category in 2000 and the other
fell to medium category.
Table 7: Transition between development categories from 1990 to 2000
2000
Low HD
Medium HD
High HD
1990
Low HD
18
3
0
Medium HD
0
14
0
High HD
0
1
1
Source: Own calculations from corresponding years’ HDR.
All the transitions between 2000 and 2008 were upwards. Out of 20 OIC member states in low
development category in 2000, 8 were upgraded to medium and the rest remained in the same
category. For medium category in 2000, 23 stayed in the same category and 5 were placed in high
development category. There was not any transition for the high development category in 2000.
All the 5 countries in high category in 2000, remained in the same category in 2008.
Table 8: Transition between development categories from 2000 to 2008
2008
Low HD
Medium HD
High HD
2000
Low HD
12
8
0
Medium HD
0
23
5
High HD
0
0
5
Source: Own calculations from corresponding years’ HDR.
In 2009 HDR, the shares of low and medium development category were 25% and 51%
respectively. That means, three out of four OIC countries were in either low or medium
development category and only one in high or very high development category. This image
changed slightly in 2016 HDR. Almost two thirds of the OIC member states were placed in either
low or medium category. However, the share of low development category increased significantly
to 41% in 2016 from 25% in 2009. These changes from 2009 to 2016 should not be interpreted
as improvement or deterioration in human development of OIC member states since the HDI
methodology changed in 2010 significantly. Therefore, the HDI scores in 2009 and 2016 are not
fully comparable.