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Risk Management in Transport PPP Projects

In the Islamic Countries

116

to be compensated by the government in accordance with the demand guarantees set in the

concession agreement.

Overall, the HKB bridge project is considered as satisfactory, due to the significant socioeconomic

and environmental benefit generated for the residents in Abidjan. Also, the project had and still

has a very positive signaling effect, not only because it shows that, after a decade of disorder,

public institutions were able to be trusted as a credible and stable partner by international

investors, but also because, despite the difficulties, the authorities did not question the right of

the private party to be compensated according to the contractual arrangements. On the other

side, the fiscal risks due to the demand guarantees were certainly overlooked in the project

preparation phase, and under this standpoint, the project is considered critical from the public

party standpoint.

Given its pioneering nature, the project has also contributed significantly to the development of

PPP initiatives in the transport sector, and several lessons were learned by the public institutions

leading to an improvement of the capabilities and practice in PPP management:

The project made public authorities aware of the

fiscal risks

stemming from PPP

initiatives, and now, also with the support of multilateral institutions such as the IMF, more

appropriate procedures are in place for identifying and managing these risks (such as

PFRAM and the CNP-PPP risk management toolkit);

Risks associated with

demand guarantees

are now well perceived, and different financing

structures are now being preferred in case direct user revenues do not provide a sufficient

guarantee to private parties to pay back their investment. For instance, part of the

construction cost in such cases can be borne directly by the public party, leaving to the PPP

private party only a share of investment that can be compensated by the revenue net of

operational, maintenance and reinvestment costs;

Finally, in terms of

project preparation

, the government has since then improved

technical capabilities with regard of demand and revenue forecasting for transport

projects, thanks to the development of the Greater Abidjan Multimodal Transport Model,

now available to BNETD.

Sources: Author’s interviews, NORC (2018), Boston Consulting Group (2017), World Bank (2015).

Bonus/malus schemes and compensation measures

Bonus/malus schemes are allowed by the PPP legislation. Nevertheless, bonus schemes related

to performances above expectations are not common practice in Côte d’Ivoire. Instead, for

performances below expectations, clauses on the applicability of penalties are generally

included in the PPP contract.

Contract renegotiations

In accordance with the principle of the economic and financial balance of PPP schemes, contract

renegotiations during the execution phase are allowed in case of economic disruption or

imbalance. To this purpose, each PPP contract provides for the circumstances under which the