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Improving Transport Project Appraisals

In the Islamic Countries

13

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The adoption of

transport modelling

for demand analysis must be streamlined. This is to

include obtaining input data (number of vehicles, their characteristics, destination

choices, trip frequency, driving behaviour, emissions, noise, route choice) for CBA and

other analyses. Transport models need to be set up, run and periodically updated,

reflecting the best international standards and practices. Ideally, the models would be

owned by the responsible public authorities and agencies and systematically used to plan,

design and monitor transport projects rather than developed ad hoc and on the spot by

external consultants in the ex-ante phase.

-

Appropriate

data collection and official statistics

must be available to populate and

calibrate the models or simply to develop demand analysis based on past observations.

Creating project appraisal manuals, resulting in standards and a harmonised approach

Clear

guidelines

should be provided on how to carry out project appraisal, linked to the

above-mentioned transport project appraisal framework. It is recommended to develop

mode-specific

appraisal manuals

. International guidelines and manual can be taken into

consideration for the general principles and rationale while country-specific parameters and

procedures can be developed to better reflect the national context.

The

manuals

should provide clear guidance on how project appraisal is to be carried out,

including:

-

A description of the

appraisal process

with clearly defined steps, including project

identification, demand analysis, options analysis, financial sustainability, return on the

project and on private capital, economic analysis, sensitivity and risk analysis. It is

recommended to design the process in accordance with international best practices, as

for example prepared by the World Bank or other IFIs.

-

Methodological standards

, such as typical costs and benefits to be included, techniques to

deal with monetisation of benefits, etc.

-

Standard input parameters

, such as project duration, discount rate, values of time, value

of statistical life, etc. These parameters should be stablished in close collaboration with

relevant stakeholders and in collaboration with official statistics and data providers (for

example the central bank or Ministry of Finance for the financial discount rate). The input

parameters should be periodically reviewed.

The

standardisation and harmonisation

contributes to the

credibility

of the appraisal results.

Furthermore, it contributes to the ability to

compare appraisal results

, which may be

beneficial for

prioritisation

of projects.

The systematic use of standard tools and parameters shall be promoted and endorsed,

including the use of

dedicated software

to facilitate the standardisation and comparison of

project data.