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Improving Transport Project Appraisals

In the Islamic Countries

132

8.8

Follow-up and learning

Monitoring and ex-post evaluation

Monitoring of progress of implementation is standard procedure, again as indicated i

n Figure 8.1.

As elsewhere in the world, cost overruns and delays in implementation can be recorded. In

the consultation with stakeholders, it appeared that ex-post evaluation is not carried out, at least

not on a structural basis.

8.9

Conclusions and recommendations

Conclusions

Project appraisal in the transport sector in Nigeria is carried out for all projects that include

international funding and for most large infrastructure projects that are funded through

domestic sources. Project appraisal is not a hard

legal requirement

, but it is a pre-condition for

a project to receive a “

no objection status

” for procurement. As such, the

Procurement Act

provides a legal basis for appraisal of all projects that are procured, which includes most

transport projects. The

Procurement Act

does not describe how projects are to be appraised.

Consequently, there is room for interpretation, which may lead to different ways at which

projects are appraised. For some projects, notably at state or local level, limited or no appraisal

is taking place.

The

capacity

to carry out project appraisal varies per governance level. At

federal level

, the

capacity is higher than at

state and local level

. In the road sector, a set of manuals provides

guidance on project appraisal, as captured in the so-called preparation phase, as part of a defined

project cycle. This phase includes

feasibility studies

(technical, social and environmental, safety,

economic and financial). The MoPWH and MoT are leading the appraisal process at federal level

for roads and other modes of transport respectively. This approach is mirrored at state and local

level through the respective public agencies.

Feasibility studies and relevant input may be done in-house or may be outsourced to the private

sector. The responsibility for the quality remains with the above-mentioned public bodies. In

the road sector, the

RSDT

plays an important role in providing knowledge and expertise in

project appraisal, acting as an

expertise centre

. Relatively limited effort is placed on

developing

capacity

in project appraisal, e.g. though training programmes. Some capacity building has taken

place, for example through secondments to the RSDT and as part of IFI funded larger transport

projects.

Standardisation

in the use of input parameters (discount rate, evaluation period) is facilitated

through the use of support tools. An example is the use of

HDM-4

, a model for the road sub-

sector, which is calibrated for the Nigerian situation and often uses standard input values, i.e.

12% discount rate and 20 year evaluation period. Having said so, feasibility studies with other

values, e.g. 30% discount rate, have also been noticed.